Αγγλικός τίτλος: TIC Prediction Game: Make a Call, Then Review the Evidence

What is the TIC Prediction Game?

It is a weekly yes/no market-direction vote built into the app. The current app documentation says the choice is automatically resolved against the real market move and contributes to an accuracy streak. The app code stores weekly prediction votes and daily picks separately, which confirms that a submitted choice is an action rather than a decorative poll.

The feature is available on the Free plan. It is distinct from live trade ideas: it does not provide an entry, stop loss, take profit or position size, and a correct vote is not proof that a real trade would have been profitable after timing and costs.

How does the weekly loop work?

You read the question, make one directional selection and let the period complete. The system then compares the vote with the realised move and updates the result or streak. Because the outcome is resolved rather than self-scored, you cannot quietly rewrite the original opinion after seeing the chart.

A hypothetical example: the weekly prompt asks whether gold will close above its reference level. You choose “yes.” Gold ends the measured period below it, so the vote is wrong even if gold traded higher during the week. The definition and reference period matter; a market can move both ways before the close.

What can an accuracy streak teach you?

A streak can reveal whether you consistently form and preserve an opinion. It cannot establish a profitable edge on its own. Five correct weekly votes are five observations, not a statistically reliable strategy, and direction alone ignores payoff size.

Suppose you are right six times out of ten. If the real trades would make 0.5R on each win and lose 1R on each loss, expectancy is 0.6×0.5R - 0.4×1R = -0.1R per trade before costs. A 60% directional accuracy can still lose money. Conversely, 40% accuracy can be profitable if winners are much larger than losers.

That is why the streak should be read as feedback, not performance. For the full relationship, read risk/reward.

Who is the feature for?

It fits beginners learning to make a falsifiable market statement, and experienced traders checking whether conviction survives a fixed review period. It also suits people who want practice without placing virtual or real orders. If you need entries, exits and position management, the paper-trading simulator is the more complete practice tool.

The game is not suitable as a signal service, and it should not be used to copy another member's vote. Majority opinion can be wrong, and popularity does not supply a risk plan.

What are the guardrails and privacy boundaries?

The verified app behaviour is narrow: the service records a user identifier, timestamp and prediction action so the vote can be resolved and the streak maintained. It does not need a brokerage balance or real-money order to score the game. Account deletion logic includes prediction records among the user data handled by the deletion workflow.

No prediction tool can guarantee an outcome. A vote does not reserve a price, account for spread, model a gap or determine a safe position size. Treating a correct answer as permission to increase leverage would teach the opposite of the intended lesson.

How do you use it as an educational routine?

Before the vote, write the question in exact terms and identify the measurement deadline. Make one choice, assign no real capital to it, and list one supporting and one opposing fact. After resolution, review the process even when the answer was correct: a lucky result with weak reasoning is not a model to repeat.

After ten or more observations, group mistakes. Were you late after a large move? Did you ignore the time horizon? Did you confuse “traded above” with “closed above”? This review is more useful than celebrating a streak.

How do you access the feature?

The Prediction Game is included in the Free plan inside the TIC app. Downloading the app and using the game does not require a paid subscription. The product page describes it alongside the free Weekly Trading League, but the two are different: the League uses paper trades and a virtual balance, while the Prediction Game records directional votes.

Use the game to practise intellectual honesty: make the call before the outcome, preserve the record, and review what happened. That is a safer lesson than believing a short streak turns uncertainty into certainty.

Sources

• TIC app product specification, plans and feature FAQ
• CFTC, Customer advisory on trading and leverage risk
• TIC education, how many observations make a track record meaningful